5 Sept · 21:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1433
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Holovatiuk
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1590
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Darin🌟Holovatiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (111)
Fair odds · Holovatiuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 45% · 2.23· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+157
H2H38-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-32)