5 Sept · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1433
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Plachy
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1510
FormWLLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H30-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.