5 Sept · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KS
🇨🇿Karel Schopf
ELO 1576
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hofman
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1596
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Schopf🌟Hofman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (115)
Fair odds · Hofman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H9-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.