5 Sept · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1381
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stach
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1391
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Stach stays under total as favourite 70% (27)
Fair odds · Stach
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.