5 Sept · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1521
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Plachy
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Krok
ELO 1466
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.