5 Sept · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1467
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Guliak
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1522
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Guliak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 40% · 2.53· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.