7 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Kocian
ELO 1454
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kocian
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1370
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kocian
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+84
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.