7 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1380
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Srba
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srba
ELO 1420
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Srba
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.