7 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1575
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Levicky
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1584
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Levicky
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H46-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.