06 Sep · 17:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RR
🇨🇿Radek Rose
ELO 1559
3-2Final setsRose won
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1572
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Pikous at 51%. The actual result was Radek Rose 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Marcel Pikous favoured — closing 1.81
Total 75.5
86 points played
Set handicap
Marcel Pikous −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Marcel Pikous −1.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Radek Rose is favoured to win, below means Marcel Pikous.
▲ Radek Rosepre 53% → final 0%
Marcel Pikous ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsPikous recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games