06 Sep · 17:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JT
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1524
2-3Final setsDedek won
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1525
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Trefny at 50%. The actual result was Jiri Dedek 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Trefny favoured — closing 1.61
Total 74.5
96 points played
Set handicap
Jan Trefny −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Trefny −3.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Trefny is favoured to win, below means Jiri Dedek.
▲ Jan Trefnypre 46% → final 95%
Jiri Dedek ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsTrefny recovered from 37%61 points · 3 games