6 Sept · 23:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousek
ELO 1660
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dousek
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1652
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Wawrosz🌟Dousek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (157)
Fair odds · Dousek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.