7 Sept · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1624
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Opanasiuk
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1784
FormWLWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vavrecka🌟Vavrecka covers set handicap as underdog 64% (269)
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+160
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)