9 Sept · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RA
🇨🇿Radim Adam
ELO 1531
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Blejchar
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1573
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Adam covers set handicap as underdog 70% (44)
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H33-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.