10 Sept · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RK
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1589
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krejci
AH
🇨🇿Ales Hlawatschke
ELO 1506
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Hlawatschke covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Krejci
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 32% · 3.17· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+83
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.