8 Sept · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Krok
ELO 1493
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krok
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1460
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Krok
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H36-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.