9 Sept · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1554
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jezek
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Jezek
ELO 1621
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Jezek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.