10 Sept · 01:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1618
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vedmoch
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1476
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cermak🌟Cermak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (165)
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 31% · 3.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+142
H2H5-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)