10 Sept · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1563
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tazler
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Tazler
ELO 1575
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Tazler
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.