10 Sept · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1553
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Svacha
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1630
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Svacha
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H22-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.