10 Sept · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Marek Sedlak
ELO 1522
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sedlak
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1494
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolar🌟Sedlak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Sedlak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.