11 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1608
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Barton
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1635
FormLLWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Svechota🌟Barton rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (108)
Fair odds · Barton
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.