11 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1463
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulava
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1392
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sulava
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H129-106
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.