12 Sep · 09:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kos
ELO 1754
3-1Final setsKos won
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1721
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Mares at 51%. The actual result was Tomas Kos 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Kos favoured — closing 1.69
Total 75.5
73 points played
Set handicap
Kos −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Kos −3.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Kos is favoured to win, below means Erik Mares.
▲ Tomas Kospre 53% → final 95%
Erik Mares ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts64 points · 4 games