13 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OH
🇨🇿Oliver Hradil
ELO 1450
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rinka
AR
🇨🇿Alfred Rinka
ELO 1514
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Rinka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (27)
Fair odds · Rinka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.