13 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FT
🇨🇿Frantisek Trojan
ELO 1448
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Trojan
MB
🇨🇿Martin Bohac
ELO 1412
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Trojan rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (16)
Fair odds · Trojan
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.