13 Sept · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1483
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vinter
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1496
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vinter
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.