14 Sept · 09:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1369
FormWLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Svoboda
AS
🇨🇿Adam Svoboda
ELO 1577
FormWWWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
21%
3-2
18%
2-3
18%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+208
H2H7-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)