14 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1555
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stolfa
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vesely
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Vesely covers set handicap as underdog 71% (34)
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.