14 Sept · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1350
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rybar
VR
🇨🇿Vaclav Rybar
ELO 1482
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Rybar
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+132
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)