14 Sept · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vesely
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vesely
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1547
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tuma🌟Vesely rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (48)
Fair odds · Vesely
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.