14 Sept · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1547
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tuma
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1475
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Cermak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (176)
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H49-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.