14 Sept · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1578
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Oborny
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1558
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Machander covers set handicap as underdog 69% (104)
Fair odds · Oborny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.