14 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1350
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kaspar
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kaspar
ELO 1394
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Kaspar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Kaspar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.