14 Sept · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1567
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Just
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1475
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Cermak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (176)
Fair odds · Just
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+92
H2H14-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)