14 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srba
ELO 1435
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Srba
DM
🇨🇿David Mutl
ELO 1310
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Srba
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~72 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)