15 Sept · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1452
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Klusacek
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1535
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Klusacek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+83
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.