15 Sept · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1452
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kucirek
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kucirek
ELO 1545
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Kucirek stays under total as favourite 69% (59)
Fair odds · Kucirek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+93
H2H27-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)