15 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Heczko
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1557
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.