15 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RV
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1507
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Schwan
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Vavrecka covers set handicap as underdog 63% (67)
Fair odds · Schwan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H5-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.