15 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vesely
ELO 1527
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vesely
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Prokupek
ELO 1443
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Vesely rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (48)
Fair odds · Vesely
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+84
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.