15 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1557
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Heczko
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1556
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H19-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.