15 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Kocian
ELO 1450
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tyn
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tyn
ELO 1460
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Tyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.