15 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1657
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolisnyk
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1644
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Svechota🌟Svechota covers set handicap as underdog 63% (43)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.