15 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1550
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Schwan🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (127)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H4-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.