15 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1616
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolisnyk
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1657
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ruzicka
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H50-69
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.