15 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1544
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1616
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H46-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.