15 Sept · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1590
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Levicky
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1557
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heczko🌟Heczko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (111)
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H51-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.