15 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1557
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Heczko
RV
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1507
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Vavrecka covers set handicap as underdog 63% (67)
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.