15 Sept · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1517
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hradecky
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1636
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Cermak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (177)
Fair odds · Hradecky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+119
H2H25-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-7)